With a lot of fantasy drafts set to take place over these next two weeks The Sports Bundle will be posting their player rankings. The average draft position of these players is based on a 12 team standard league.
My Draft Strategy when it comes to QB's in 2011 is to wait. Target Peyton Manning with your 4th round draft choice and hope to nail that down but if you don't it's not the end of the world. I would then turn my attention to Schaub in the 5th who I think could spring himself into the elite QB's. If you miss out on both of these guys and their great ADP's I go into full on wait mode until I grab my combo of Matt Stafford (8th) and Kevin Kolb (10th). Stafford in that detroit offense has the outside chance to have an elite season. Kolb should be right around high QB2 value throwing to Fitzy and worst case scenario you alternate the two based on match ups. In the increasingly pass first NFL there is value to be had at the QB position if you had to I wouldn't be too depressed grabbing Fitzpatrick in the 14th! as my starter.
THE NAME OF THE GAME IS WAIT
1. Michael Vick, Philadelphia Eagles (mid 1st round) - Vick is a dominant force in fantasy. No player has the potential to score as much as him week in and week out. The guy can make a bad fantasy team competitive and a good fantasy team dominant. He's the only QB I'd burn a 1st rounder. Huge injury risk but the upside is worth it.
2. Aaron Rodgers, Green Bay Packers (late 1st round) - What a year he had in 2010 leading title town to a Super Bowl XLV victory. He is in a premier passing offense and is a consistent high scorer every week and could definitely lead your fantasy team to a title. At his current ADP I'd have to pass though, Brady (2nd), Rivers (3rd), Brees (3rd), P.Manning (4th) should all give you similar stats and can be had way later. Rodgers is definitely the number 2 fantasy QB but with the value in later rounds I don't think I'd take him in the 1st.
3. Tom Brady, New England Patriots (mid 2nd round) - A stud that is coming off a career year in 2010 and getting a new weapon in Chad Ochocinco. He should provide more of the same this year. His 2nd round ADP is still a little much for me to spend on him when there are other options in the next few rounds that'll be right there with him in scoring.
4. Philip Rivers, San Diego Chargers (early 3rd round) - The strong aerial attack led by Rivers leads directly to big fantasy points. Insert Vincent Jackson and Rivers could be off the charts this year. If you can grab a stud HB in the 1st, a stud receiver in the 2nd, and then grab Rivers in the 3rd you'll be in a heck of a position to get that fantasy championship.
5. Peyton Manning, Indianapolis Colts (mid 4th round) - This pick is for the risk taker with Manning's neck still needing nerves to regenerate he is hardly a sure thing. His ADP however makes it increasingly attractive to take him. This is a guy in a pass first pass 2nd pass 3rd offense and could be the number one fantasy QB in 2011. Oh yeah and he can be had a full 3 rounds later! Manning a stud back and two stud receivers at the end of round 4 has the potential to be a flat out dominant fantasy team. Manning is my guy to target in this years draft. Huge Injury Risk but can be the steal of the draft.
6. Drew Brees, New Orleans Saints (mid 3rd round) - In Sean Payton's offense Brees has been an elite fantasy QB year after year and I don't see that changing. While the Saints may be more prone to run in the redzone this year with the addition of Ingram that won't eat into Brees' numbers too much this is the last of the elite QB's.
7. Matt Schaub, Houston Texans (late 5th round) - Houston's offense is easily one of the top in the league and with the emergence of Foster, Schaub should be able to pick defenses apart through the air.
8. Matt Stafford, Detroit Lions (mid 8th round) - Stafford has a monster arm and a ton of weapons including one of the NFL's premier receivers in Megatron. If he can stay healthy this kid could put up truly elite numbers think 4000 yards and 30+ touchdowns. He has unbelievably good draft day value and is a guy I would definitely target maybe even a round earlier than his ADP. You won't be sorry.
9. Matt Ryan, Atlanta Falcons (early 6th round) - With a slowing Turner the Falcons will be more pass heavy than ever this year. Roddy White, Julio Jones, and Harry Douglas could yield big scoring for the 4th year QB.
10. Tony Romo, Dallas Cowboys (mid 5th round) - Similar situation to Matt Ryan he has great weapons in Dez Austin and Witten but I don't think he can have a shot at being truly elite. I'm starting to think Dallas feels the same way.
11. Josh Freeman, Tampa Bay Buccaneers (early 8th round) - Like this kid a lot and think he can give you top 10 numbers but I don't think he has the elite upside of Stafford or Ryan this season.
12. Sam Bradford, St.Louis Rams (mid 9th round) - In Josh McDaniels' offense Bradford will put up huge numbers I just wish he had some better targets to throw to. Wouldn't hate to have him as my fantasy starter but would rather have him as a back up.
13. Ben Roethlisberger, Pittsburgh Steelers (late 6th round) - Roethlisberger is a player I'd just avoid drafting. Sure he's gonna put up somewhere around top 12 numbers but with a late 6th round ADP and so much more value to be had in the later rounds count me out. Pittsburgh still loves to run and the chance of Roeth ever putting up elite fantasy numbers are slim to none.
14. Eli Manning, New York Giants (early 9th round) - Needs to cut down on the int's still waiting on him to take the next step but you could do a lot worse than having this guy as your starter. Hakeem Nicks' emergence gives Eli some serious upside he hasn't had in the past few seasons.
15. Kevin Kolb, Arizona Cardinals (mid 10th round) - A high upside back up with Fitzgerald to throw to this guy will put up pretty big numbers. Worried about the Cards' offensive line though.
16. Joe Flacco Baltimore Ravens (mid 10th round) - Lee Evans is supposed to be the much needed deep threat to get Flacco into high scoring fantasy totals. I don't see it Evans is on the down side of his career and Flacco will just stay average.
17. Ryan Fitzpatrick Buffalo Bills (early 14th round) - This guy can put up QB1 numbers and can be had when kickers and defenses are being picked. He is the last QB that I think has legitimate startability.
Cutler, Cassel, McNabb, Sanchez, Orton, McCoy are all about the same and I don't see any of them reaching QB1 status. Cutler (line is a mess) Cassel (run 1st offense) McNabb (lacks number one receiver new system) Sanchez (talent) Orton (John Fox offense) McCoy (talent, lacks weapons)
- Michael Gibson
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